0xFaF7e31f8f2fEc8F8ABcbC1c3278271D8CB5b954-1764975165390
0xdb9d155994028118f83e8f775bb6f0413977ecd6
- Realised P&L
- $-4.09
- Volume
- $893.21
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $60.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $60.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.41at 0.865Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
- +$0.14at 0.500US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
- +$-0.54at 0.920Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$-1.93at 0.689US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
- +$-4.17at 0.480Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 03:52 | Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $80.00 |
| 10-30 00:22 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.4832021985 | $58.02 |
| 10-30 00:21 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | SELL | 0.5558442453 | $8.07 |
| 10-30 00:19 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.6889999833 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 00:17 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.5524997501 | $22.11 |
| 10-30 00:16 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.5279999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 00:15 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.5592885581 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 00:14 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.4866755494 | $60.00 |
| 10-29 19:14 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.44 | $45.83 |
| 10-28 06:09 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4799999985 | $50.00 |
| 10-24 14:55 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.91 | $49.45 |
| 10-24 14:28 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9199999845 | $50.00 |
| 10-19 15:45 | Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $101.00 |
| 10-17 03:12 | Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8599999931 | $97.60 |