ehweafvgdjwtr2d
0xdb9554f123516d0d9d7e6c5fc852a2fa344422b7
- Realised P&L
- $145.09
- Volume
- $21.6k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $201.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $30? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.995 | $201.19 | −$0.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.94at 0.927Will Tesla dip to $315 in April?
- +$21.48at 0.975Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
- +$12.52at 0.992Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$11.69at 0.954Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?
- +$8.50at 0.990Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 10:30 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $30? | BUY | 0.999 | $202.00 |
| 09-12 23:47 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 14 above $5.50? | BUY | 0.9988283798 | $291.00 |
| 09-07 06:57 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $118.88 |
| 09-05 03:14 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 7 above $1.00? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.97 |
| 09-05 03:14 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 7 above $0.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.97 |
| 09-05 03:08 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $89.19 |
| 09-05 03:07 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.35 |
| 09-05 03:07 | Will Solana reach $160 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $125.65 |
| 09-02 09:02 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.30 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-02 09:01 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 31 above $120? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 09-02 09:01 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 31 above $5.00? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 08-24 09:11 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $201.39 |
| 08-24 09:09 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $99.20 |
| 08-17 11:01 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $0-$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 17 – Aug 21? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 08-17 11:01 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 17 – Aug 21? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |