PolyBot

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Traders

timmolu

0xdb92aca642467a1db728150f2cd6769c49d7bb30

Realised P&L
$-486.90
Volume
$68.6k
Markets traded
1,496
Open portfolio
$79.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,496
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? · No0.5450.545$60.08−$0.06
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.4600.245$12.74−$11.18
Will the Bank of England make no change to the Bank Rate at the February meeting? · No0.6600.625$6.25−$0.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:25Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the June meeting?SELL0.46$8.59
11-01 16:18Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31?SELL0.52$36.92
11-01 01:31Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31?SELL0.61$4.45
11-01 01:30Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?SELL0.335$5.19
11-01 01:30Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the cash rate target by 25 bps at the March meeting?SELL0.497$9.94
11-01 01:30Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by November 30, 2026?SELL0.36$8.64
11-01 01:30Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30?SELL0.31$3.39
10-31 23:00Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the cash rate target at the March meeting?SELL0.52$0.30
10-31 22:48Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting?SELL0.38$7.60
10-31 22:39Will Team Spirit win PARI Universe?SELL0.361$7.22
10-31 10:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSELL0.7981032413$13.30
10-30 11:32Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSELL0.55$9.48
10-30 11:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.58$9.99
10-30 09:33Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSELL0.77$7.70
10-30 09:31Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETBUY0.58$5.80