SpeedyPenguin5
0xdb90cce9e2bdaf695883fa41d98304f1dba91917
- Realised P&L
- $-10.4k
- Volume
- $815.8k
- Markets traded
- 3,098
- Open portfolio
- $301.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,098
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.333Packers vs. Bears
- +$2.3kat 0.460Bills vs. Jaguars
- +$810.43at 0.494Spread: Georgia (-6.5)
- +$482.61at 0.507XRP Up or Down - January 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
- +$440.00at 0.120Pittsburgh vs. Florida State
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 15:48 | Michigan vs. Minnesota: O/U 41.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 15:47 | Spread: Michigan (-6.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $102.00 |
| 10-02 23:38 | Penn State vs. Northwestern: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $104.00 |
| 10-02 23:37 | Penn State vs. Northwestern | BUY | 0.44 | $88.00 |
| 10-02 21:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.76 | $152.00 |
| 10-02 19:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $97.00 |
| 10-02 19:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | SELL | 0.51 | $50.99 |
| 10-02 19:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 10-02 18:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | SELL | 0.59 | $59.00 |
| 10-02 18:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5195 | $51.95 |
| 10-02 18:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 10-02 18:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $91.58 |
| 10-02 18:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.37 | $14.80 |
| 10-02 18:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | SELL | 0.17 | $34.00 |
| 10-02 18:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | SELL | 0.38 | $38.00 |