PolyBot

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Traders

taxiboat

0xdb8dcd57a97667ea2b6ef658562123ae0e33b66c

Realised P&L
$-23.77
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$2.48

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration94.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2700.040$1.46$8.54
Will Trump attend UFC 331? · Yes0.0390.010$1.01$2.99
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$10.00
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 7? · No0.2050.000$0.00$15.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$10.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes0.3090.000$0.00$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Down0.5260.000$0.00$10.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 09:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETSELL0.99$5.05
09-16 09:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETBUY0.98$5.00
09-06 11:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETBUY0.5699999555$5.00
09-06 11:41Israel military action against Lebanon on September 7?BUY0.2049689337$15.00
09-06 11:40Will Trump attend UFC 331?BUY0.0394869656$4.00
03-10 13:46Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.5$9.69
03-10 13:42US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.3090027759$15.00
03-10 13:40Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETSELL0.9991$20.32
03-10 13:36Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.7299999942$14.71
02-28 19:38Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.9619999999$110.00
01-23 13:48Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.189999988$10.00
01-23 13:48Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
01-23 13:47Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?BUY0.02257026$10.00
01-23 13:36Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.18$63.00
01-23 13:34US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.2599999991$200.00