taxiboat
0xdb8dcd57a97667ea2b6ef658562123ae0e33b66c
- Realised P&L
- $-23.77
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $2.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.040 | $1.46 | −$8.54 |
| Will Trump attend UFC 331? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.010 | $1.01 | −$2.99 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 7? · No | 0.205 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes | 0.309 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Down | 0.526 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$291.35at 0.372Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$14.94at 0.627Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
- +$3.62at 0.587Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
- +$0.04at 0.981Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
- +$-52.94at 0.680Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 09:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $5.05 |
| 09-16 09:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 11:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 11:41 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 7? | BUY | 0.2049689337 | $15.00 |
| 09-06 11:40 | Will Trump attend UFC 331? | BUY | 0.0394869656 | $4.00 |
| 03-10 13:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $9.69 |
| 03-10 13:42 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.3090027759 | $15.00 |
| 03-10 13:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | SELL | 0.9991 | $20.32 |
| 03-10 13:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.7299999942 | $14.71 |
| 02-28 19:38 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.9619999999 | $110.00 |
| 01-23 13:48 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 01-23 13:48 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 01-23 13:47 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.02257026 | $10.00 |
| 01-23 13:36 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.18 | $63.00 |
| 01-23 13:34 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999991 | $200.00 |