PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdb8980657706e78c16ec790485c4bd4c15b7f9de

Realised P&L
$-1.13
Volume
$190.77
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$5.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.7400.943$2.56+$0.55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5200.885$1.70+$0.70
Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.2300.230$1.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 19:47Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
09-12 14:08Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-12 04:40Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
09-07 23:42Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-07 12:46Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.74$1.00
08-31 20:39Will Andy Burnham say "Nuclear" during the next PMQ?BUY0.29999982$1.00
08-31 12:39Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
08-31 04:38Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?BUY0.52$1.00
08-30 08:33Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?BUY0.4599997608$1.00
08-29 20:24Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
08-27 09:31Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?BUY0.7099999432$1.00
08-27 01:31Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
08-25 05:00Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
08-24 20:58Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
08-23 23:44Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?BUY0.3599998704$1.00