dougieswim
0xdb7d59acedf0db31845b864a0063164fc1c27862
- Realised P&L
- $-4.5k
- Volume
- $315.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,716
- Open portfolio
- $294.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,716
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik · Jakub Mensik | 0.614 | 0.600 | $34.20 | −$0.80 |
| Spread: Colts (-2.5) · Colts | 0.590 | 0.585 | $28.75 | −$0.25 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) · Seahawks | 0.560 | 0.550 | $25.19 | −$0.46 |
| Spread: Steelers (-2.5) · Steelers | 0.530 | 0.515 | $22.11 | −$0.64 |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) · Bills | 0.520 | 0.515 | $21.49 | −$0.21 |
| Bowling Green vs. Miami (OH): O/U 47.5 · Over | 0.450 | 0.385 | $19.68 | −$3.32 |
| Spread: 49ers (-2.5) · Broncos | 0.500 | 0.490 | $19.60 | −$0.40 |
| China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova · Polina Kudermetova | 0.658 | 0.630 | $19.14 | −$0.86 |
| Spread: Arizona State (-2.5) · Arizona State | 0.600 | 0.590 | $18.68 | −$0.32 |
| Kentucky vs. South Carolina: O/U 49.5 · Under | 0.460 | 0.400 | $14.78 | −$2.22 |
| Spread: Tennessee (-8.5) · Tennessee | 0.470 | 0.455 | $14.52 | −$0.48 |
| Miami (FL) vs. Clemson: O/U 51.5 · Over | 0.493 | 0.425 | $12.94 | −$2.06 |
| Vanderbilt vs. Georgia: O/U 51.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.470 | $12.47 | −$0.53 |
| Bowling Green vs. Miami (OH): O/U 45.5 · Over | 0.567 | 0.425 | $11.25 | −$3.75 |
| Navy vs. Air Force: O/U 45.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.530 | $10.19 | +$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$723.01at 0.301Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas Longhorns
- +$497.71at 0.584Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs
- +$450.09at 0.480Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
- +$432.60at 0.599Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs
- +$409.76at 0.532Oregon State Beavers vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 145.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 22:10 | Spread: Bills (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5199999904 | $21.70 |
| 09-28 22:09 | Spread: Steelers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5299999914 | $22.75 |
| 09-28 22:08 | Spread: Colts (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5899999925 | $29.00 |
| 09-28 22:08 | Spread: 49ers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 22:07 | Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) | BUY | 0.559999993 | $25.65 |
| 09-28 22:05 | Spread: Arizona State (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5999999937 | $19.00 |
| 09-28 22:04 | China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova | BUY | 0.6583541121 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 22:03 | Bowling Green vs. Miami (OH): O/U 45.5 | BUY | 0.5666857463 | $15.00 |
| 09-28 22:03 | Bowling Green vs. Miami (OH): O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.4499999922 | $23.00 |
| 09-28 22:02 | Navy vs. Air Force: O/U 45.5 | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 22:01 | Bari: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Laurent Lokoli | BUY | 0.4099999816 | $6.00 |
| 09-28 22:00 | Vanderbilt vs. Georgia: O/U 51.5 | BUY | 0.4899999861 | $13.00 |
| 09-28 21:59 | China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $17.00 |
| 09-28 14:32 | LoL: Anubis Gaming vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage | BUY | 0.6412983783 | $32.00 |
| 09-28 11:52 | China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik | BUY | 0.6140350877 | $35.00 |