onlyuponlyup
0xdb6f533702b4ea5e75f1af16c62584ce2ef90269
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $210.9k
- Markets traded
- 6,356
- Open portfolio
- $88.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,356
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$285.82at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
- +$236.94at 0.749Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3AM ET
- +$216.52at 0.661Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8AM ET
- +$203.53at 0.530Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET
- +$198.51at 0.528Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999985 | $90.00 |
| 08-04 18:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.9084102806 | $40.00 |
| 08-04 18:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.7892170956 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 18:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4675899086 | $74.00 |
| 08-04 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999894 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 17:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.681937635 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 17:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | SELL | 0.7789392218 | $109.71 |
| 08-04 17:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.709999998 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 17:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3006785079 | $66.00 |
| 08-04 17:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999994 | $60.00 |
| 08-04 16:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.7699999968 | $48.00 |
| 08-04 14:56 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.8667771806 | $215.16 |
| 08-04 14:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10AM ET | SELL | 0.61 | $108.93 |
| 08-04 14:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999993 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 13:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $50.00 |