0xdb59d203ef518020730692e3b09da6fb2026189a
0xdb59d203ef518020730692e3b09da6fb2026189a
- Realised P&L
- $-7.58
- Volume
- $421.60
- Markets traded
- 149
- Open portfolio
- $19.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded149
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.19at 0.139Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?
- +$6.08at 0.148Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
- +$3.51at 0.227Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?
- +$3.31at 0.239Set Handicap: Moeller (-1.5) vs Dodig (+1.5)
- +$2.81at 0.270Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 07:19 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 06:49 | Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimova | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 22:47 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in August? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 22:41 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 22:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.6238240114 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 22:03 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August? | BUY | 0.4579997756 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 21:10 | Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 20:38 | Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 20:24 | Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | BUY | 0.2989998445 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 20:14 | Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Baez (+1.5) | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 20:09 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 19:41 | NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 16:35 | Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.6494803178 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 16:35 | Sion: Petr Nesterov vs Calvin Hemery | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 16:06 | Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |