motaha
0xdb5821ee673db9d82e24a83a1c131e2ae6f79b51
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $17.4k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 11PM ET · Up | 0.114 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$266.15 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 14? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11PM ET · Up | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$439.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.069Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 14?
- +$242.29at 0.358Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 14?
- +$-3.58at 0.029Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 03:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.0094639339 | $37.12 |
| 10-15 03:42 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.038 | $1.14 |
| 10-15 03:40 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $7.42 |
| 10-15 03:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.0692712391 | $28.52 |
| 10-15 03:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.0500346191 | $71.48 |
| 10-15 03:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.0442850665 | $98.25 |
| 10-15 03:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.0928935257 | $103.82 |
| 10-15 03:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.124300689 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 03:26 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.21 | $16.80 |
| 10-15 03:23 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.20 |
| 10-15 03:22 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.2546940106 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 02:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 14? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.74 |
| 10-15 02:24 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.8k |
| 10-15 02:24 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $377.41 |
| 10-15 00:37 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 14? | BUY | 0.349 | $20.94 |