dogepepeshiba
0xdb4eb99eafa8c8842cd879d5de9d0e60d54147f0
- Realised P&L
- $56.58
- Volume
- $5.18M
- Markets traded
- 301
- Open portfolio
- $69.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded301
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WHOOP IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.022 | $5.90 | −$11.59 |
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.135 | 0.125 | $5.18 | −$0.42 |
| Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.125 | $5.10 | −$0.75 |
| Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.122 | $4.88 | −$0.32 |
| Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.080 | $4.80 | −$0.33 |
| Will Rivian announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.045 | $4.59 | −$4.76 |
| Glean IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.017 | $4.24 | −$10.26 |
| ByteDance IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.073 | $3.65 | +$1.90 |
| Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.065 | $3.25 | −$0.25 |
| Will Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes | 0.113 | 0.045 | $3.22 | −$4.90 |
| Deel IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.045 | $3.04 | +$0.23 |
| Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.017 | $2.99 | −$5.89 |
| Mistral AI IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.035 | $2.43 | −$2.05 |
| Epic Games IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.084 | $2.35 | +$1.28 |
| Will BP be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.029 | $2.28 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.91at 0.001Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$105.78at 0.001Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$95.35at 0.001Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$72.77at 0.001Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$56.23at 0.001Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:43 | Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 19:43 | Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 09-14 08:06 | Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.1279782609 | $5.89 |
| 09-14 08:06 | Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.72 |
| 09-13 23:32 | Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SELL | 0.045 | $1.80 |
| 09-13 23:30 | Will JetBlue Airways announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $5.21 |
| 09-13 23:28 | ByteDance IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.0263504799 | $9.77 |
| 09-13 23:26 | Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.031 | $1.55 |
| 09-13 23:26 | Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.0311489869 | $6.27 |
| 09-13 23:25 | Epic Games IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.0357142857 | $3.50 |
| 09-13 23:25 | Deel IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.04 | $8.79 |
| 09-13 23:23 | Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.05 | $3.80 |
| 09-13 23:23 | Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 23:22 | Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.02 |
| 09-13 23:20 | Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.0260913 | $2.61 |