0xdb4CcA7e8e8E1bCb9E841Fd16752d6Fbed4EC119-1770792566768
0xdb4cca7e8e8e1bcb9e841fd16752d6fbed4ec119
- Realised P&L
- $-22.60
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $4.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.065 | $4.06 | −$5.94 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Down | 0.599 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand · New Zealand | 0.063 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Sidemen Charity Match 2026: Winner · Sidemen FC | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.69at 0.508Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$0.71at 0.800Will "Epstein" be said on the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-20 22:43 | Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 04-18 16:15 | Sidemen Charity Match 2026: Winner | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 04-16 14:43 | Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 19:11 | Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 14:27 | Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0158160187 | $3.00 |
| 04-15 14:27 | Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 04-15 13:00 | Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 13:17 | Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 03-13 01:42 | Will "Epstein" be said on the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.84 |
| 03-08 17:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999902 | $5.82 |
| 03-08 16:11 | T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand | BUY | 0.035 | $7.00 |
| 03-08 12:58 | T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand | BUY | 0.32 | $7.00 |
| 03-02 11:09 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | BUY | 0.5079999846 | $10.00 |