ingsincelejo
0xdb45efa6eac6a355975d6c590209c802bd3f697d
- Realised P&L
- $73.06
- Volume
- $125.8k
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $262.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.565 | $226.00 | +$190.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,450 on October 12? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.072 | $36.00 | +$14.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11? · Yes | 0.193 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$106.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on October 5? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.82 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 5-11? · Yes | 0.164 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$82.00 |
| Will Solana dip to $115 on October 4? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.78 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 23? · No | 0.062 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.30 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 17? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.90 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on October 4? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.20 |
| Kings vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 117.5 · Over | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$450.00 |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 171.5 · Over | 0.899 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$899.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$507.19at 0.015Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on October 6?
- +$228.38at 0.873Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
- +$162.71at 0.837Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 156.5
- +$137.93at 0.949Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5
- +$136.68at 0.932Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 192.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 02:06 | 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5 | BUY | 0.9839891504 | $428.07 |
| 10-10 03:55 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 156.5 | BUY | 0.83 | $828.80 |
| 10-08 04:15 | Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 217.5 | BUY | 0.9548612279 | $11.35 |
| 10-08 04:14 | Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 215.5 | BUY | 0.95 | $5.70 |
| 10-08 02:37 | Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5 | BUY | 0.95 | $5.70 |
| 10-08 02:35 | Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 226.5 | BUY | 0.96775 | $483.88 |
| 10-08 02:11 | Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $490.00 |
| 10-06 14:46 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on October 6? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.23 |
| 10-04 20:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on October 4? | BUY | 0.0171428571 | $0.60 |
| 10-04 01:30 | Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5 | BUY | 0.8887166324 | $865.61 |
| 10-04 01:29 | Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5 | BUY | 0.9 | $28.80 |
| 08-30 03:38 | Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 171.5 | BUY | 0.8983798883 | $321.62 |
| 08-29 17:21 | DR Congo vs. Mali | BUY | 0.9896208635 | $268.85 |
| 08-29 01:28 | Portland Fire vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5 | BUY | 0.979 | $979.00 |
| 08-26 03:43 | Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 165.5 | BUY | 0.991 | $1.1k |