0xdb3dc17ca673779de77077d9cec63bf97f55e787
0xdb3dc17ca673779de77077d9cec63bf97f55e787
- Realised P&L
- $5.13
- Volume
- $383.88
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $7.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Chiefs (-7.5) · Chiefs | 0.260 | 0.250 | $2.50 | −$0.10 |
| Spread: Rams (-2.5) · Chargers | 0.340 | 0.230 | $2.30 | −$1.10 |
| Spread: Commanders (-14.5) · Commanders | 0.220 | 0.225 | $2.25 | +$0.05 |
| Spread: Falcons (-2.5) · 49ers | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.33 |
| Spread: Air Force (-10.5) · Air Force | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
| Spread: UCF (-10.5) · UCF | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.08 |
| Spread: Sam Houston (-10.5) · Sam Houston | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Spread: Vikings (-2.5) · Colts | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: UAB (-5.5) · UAB | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.70 |
| Spread: Packers (-8.5) · Packers | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Charlotte (-4.5) · Charlotte | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
| Spread: Utah (-1.5) · Cincinnati | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.10 |
| Spread: Temple (-7.5) · Temple | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
| Spread: Boston College (-4.5) · Boston College | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spread: Oregon (-2.5) · Northwestern | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.62at 0.235Spread: Texans (-2.5)
- +$8.05at 0.195Spread: Coastal Carolina (-7.5)
- +$8.05at 0.195Spread: Sacramento State (-3.5)
- +$7.34at 0.266Spread: Delaware (-7.5)
- +$7.24at 0.276Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 15:47 | Spread: Commanders (-14.5) | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 10-31 15:45 | Spread: Cowboys (-1.5) | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 10-31 15:39 | Spread: Rams (-2.5) | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 10-31 15:37 | Spread: Chiefs (-7.5) | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 10-31 15:32 | Spread: Bengals (-2.5) | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 10-31 15:28 | Spread: Jaguars (-2.5) | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 10-31 15:23 | Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 10-31 15:19 | Spread: Ohio State (-2.5) | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 10-30 14:59 | Spread: Arizona (-7.5) | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 10-30 14:57 | Spread: UAB (-5.5) | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 10-30 14:55 | Spread: Boston College (-4.5) | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 14:42 | Spread: Coastal Carolina (-7.5) | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 10-30 14:40 | Spread: Illinois (-14.5) | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 10-30 14:38 | Spread: California (-3.5) | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 14:27 | Spread: Oregon (-2.5) | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |