droneFloyd
0xdb36b35918a0c20a0ebed577e51bb85958c3f9fe
- Realised P&L
- $-28.47
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $92.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.995 | $29.84 | +$12.73 |
| Will Russia enter Stavky by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.845 | $25.35 | +$3.15 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.220 | $13.20 | −$2.40 |
| Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.365 | $10.95 | −$3.75 |
| Will Russia capture Stavky by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.090 | $4.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.105 | $4.48 | −$1.49 |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31? · No | 0.210 | 0.125 | $3.75 | −$2.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.20at 0.360Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?
- +$0.25at 0.440Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?
- +$0.00at 0.050Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.17at 0.930Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?
- +$-0.60at 0.060Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 22:31 | Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? | SELL | 0.9242433644 | $26.81 |
| 09-23 21:44 | Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.73 |
| 09-23 17:05 | Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $19.14 |
| 09-22 10:33 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | SELL | 0.119 | $10.71 |
| 09-22 10:32 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | SELL | 0.53 | $26.50 |
| 09-22 10:29 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 09-20 17:42 | Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31? | SELL | 0.3 | $9.26 |
| 09-20 09:45 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.20 |