PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

droneFloyd

0xdb36b35918a0c20a0ebed577e51bb85958c3f9fe

Realised P&L
$-28.47
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$92.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration94.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.5700.995$29.84+$12.73
Will Russia enter Stavky by December 31, 2026? · No0.7400.845$25.35+$3.15
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.220$13.20−$2.40
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4900.365$10.95−$3.75
Will Russia capture Stavky by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.090$4.50+$0.50
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31? · Yes0.1400.105$4.48−$1.49
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31? · No0.2100.125$3.75−$2.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 22:31Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?SELL0.9242433644$26.81
09-23 21:44Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2$1.73
09-23 17:05Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?SELL0.29$19.14
09-22 10:33Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?SELL0.119$10.71
09-22 10:32Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?SELL0.53$26.50
09-22 10:29Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$2.50
09-20 17:42Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?SELL0.3$9.26
09-20 09:45Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?SELL0.04$1.20