PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

iguassu

0xdb3022bafaaa4755e4973bb8c0b040641976722b

Realised P&L
$-87.39
Volume
$10.9k
Markets traded
240
Open portfolio
$38.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded240
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? · Yes0.6000.705$21.15+$3.15
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? · Yes0.4900.485$14.54−$0.15
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%? · Yes0.1700.250$2.50+$0.80
Will Trump say "Mental Institution" at Rocky Mount events on Friday? · No0.3200.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? · Yes0.3130.000$0.00−$10.95
Ethereum Up or Down on November 20? · Up0.0460.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2025-12-08? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$1.00
Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.2820.000$0.00−$11.00
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00−$16.85
Will Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$0.60
Heat vs. Magic: 1H O/U 119.5 · Over0.5800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump say "Venezuela" or "Mexico" 5+ times at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$5.70
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? · Yes0.1250.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2? · No0.3400.000$0.00−$3.40
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times at Rocky Mount events on Friday? · No0.2960.000$0.00−$6.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 11:27Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?BUY0.17$1.70
10-07 11:27Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in October?BUY0.7899999968$20.00
10-07 11:23Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?BUY0.6$18.00
10-04 13:42Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5099999906$20.00
10-04 13:32Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?BUY0.0459999988$1.00
10-04 13:27Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.0715965523$2.00
10-04 12:51Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?BUY0.5$1.00
10-04 12:51Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?BUY0.1$17.00
01-22 14:04Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?SELL0.951519368$18.67
01-18 11:53Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?BUY0.8763367065$17.20
01-17 23:09Will Trump and Robert Fico not shake hands?SELL0.0722184906$3.83
01-17 23:09Will Trump and Robert Fico not shake hands?BUY0.9189999723$12.29
01-17 23:08Natural Disaster in 2026?SELL0.51$12.24
01-17 11:41Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $620b on January 31?SELL0.9221814286$12.91
01-08 19:11U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 10, 2026?SELL0.75$5.25