0xdb264db80555a9d0b645507e7df4fe298c97ee4b
- Realised P&L
- $-51.63
- Volume
- $688.39
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $20.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-17? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.425 | $20.73 | +$0.73 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.75at 0.205Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?
- +$12.89at 0.553Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?
- +$10.64at 0.480Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
- +$-16.09at 0.375Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-05?
- +$-16.18at 0.237Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:00 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 12:56 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 12:35 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1199999998 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 17:18 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | SELL | 0.84 | $28.00 |
| 09-13 11:46 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.449999991 | $15.00 |
| 09-13 11:46 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.5199999972 | $15.00 |
| 09-06 00:07 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.4599999781 | $8.00 |
| 09-05 18:00 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.3099999806 | $8.00 |
| 09-05 15:58 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.5199999986 | $15.00 |
| 09-05 15:57 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.4599999926 | $15.00 |
| 09-05 14:33 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.449999988 | $15.00 |
| 09-05 14:16 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.3499999918 | $15.00 |
| 09-05 13:40 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-05? | SELL | 0.56 | $14.73 |
| 09-05 13:38 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.5699999939 | $15.00 |
| 09-05 13:14 | Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? | BUY | 0.19 | $9.98 |