tacosorweather
0xdb263b4ebcd203a5d381f230526ce83e845f2603
- Realised P&L
- $-311.16
- Volume
- $56.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,536
- Open portfolio
- $0.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,536
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.95at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?
- +$30.26at 0.049Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 23?
- +$28.26at 0.029Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 31?
- +$21.75at 0.047Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 31?
- +$20.02at 0.084Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 12:09 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 13? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on July 13? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.05 |
| 07-13 03:54 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on July 13? | BUY | 0.1730546567 | $1.50 |
| 07-13 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13? | BUY | 0.1099999399 | $1.50 |
| 07-12 21:41 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13? | BUY | 0.219999912 | $1.50 |
| 07-12 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.50 |
| 07-12 20:25 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13? | BUY | 0.219999912 | $1.50 |
| 07-12 20:25 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13? | BUY | 0.2252252252 | $1.50 |
| 07-12 19:41 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 12? | BUY | 0.3499998717 | $1.50 |
| 07-12 18:09 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 12? | SELL | 0.988 | $4.50 |
| 07-12 14:42 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 12? | SELL | 0.981 | $3.92 |
| 07-12 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 12? | BUY | 0.488999939 | $1.50 |
| 07-12 11:17 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 12? | BUY | 0.3289998901 | $1.50 |
| 07-12 10:53 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 12? | BUY | 0.3589997914 | $1.05 |