SummerWind
0xdb22a16007d4f73fe8ee5e205d05efb1ac237ef9
- Realised P&L
- $4.4k
- Volume
- $399.3k
- Markets traded
- 455
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded455
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.516Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?
- +$1.2kat 0.327Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$625.10at 0.432Ukraine election called in 2025?
- +$433.99at 0.380Trump approval Up or Down this week?
- +$286.20at 0.078Discord IPO before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 09:26 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.074 | $37.00 |
| 08-27 09:23 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 07-15 17:32 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $36.53 |
| 07-15 17:24 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.582 | $58.20 |
| 06-02 07:35 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $29.97 |
| 05-08 03:40 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.903 | $90.30 |
| 05-02 09:16 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.74 | $74.00 |
| 05-02 09:11 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 04-21 08:00 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.79 | $316.00 |
| 04-21 07:58 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.39 | $78.00 |
| 04-21 07:57 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.922 | $92.20 |
| 04-21 07:55 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $62.00 |
| 04-21 07:51 | Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $6.26 |
| 04-11 07:01 | X banned in any European country by December 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $45.00 |
| 03-31 12:54 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.032 | $69.93 |