PolyBot

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Traders

SummerWind

0xdb22a16007d4f73fe8ee5e205d05efb1ac237ef9

Realised P&L
$4.4k
Volume
$399.3k
Markets traded
455
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded455
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.8060.958$478.74+$75.75
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8210.935$468.68+$57.31
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · No0.6690.915$420.90+$112.91
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.6840.935$392.36+$105.44
X banned in any European country by December 31? · No0.7500.885$103.57+$15.80
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.2100.515$103.00+$61.00
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9200.977$97.70+$5.70
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.975$97.45+$12.45
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? · No0.7100.942$94.15+$23.15
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.6700.855$85.50+$18.50
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3900.345$66.31$8.65
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? · No0.4700.645$64.50+$17.50
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.3440.125$41.09$72.17
Epic Games IPO before 2027? · No0.6740.909$32.41+$8.41
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1750.077$15.50$19.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-27 09:26Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.074$37.00
08-27 09:23Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.14$14.00
07-15 17:32China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.89$36.53
07-15 17:24Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.582$58.20
06-02 07:35US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.27$29.97
05-08 03:40Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.903$90.30
05-02 09:16Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.74$74.00
05-02 09:11Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.67$67.00
04-21 08:00Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.79$316.00
04-21 07:58Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.39$78.00
04-21 07:57Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.922$92.20
04-21 07:55US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.31$62.00
04-21 07:51Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?BUY0.2$6.26
04-11 07:01X banned in any European country by December 31?BUY0.75$45.00
03-31 12:54Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.032$69.93