PolyBot

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Traders

christopherwilliams-105

0xdb04a4e847922040393f4464608fe662274e1ecc

Realised P&L
$-94.80
Volume
$22.4k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$25.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18? · Yes0.5300.545$25.69+$0.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 14:41Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?BUY0.9859999313$13.06
01-30 15:06Will Chainlink hit $17 in January?BUY0.995$14.71
01-30 14:17Will Chainlink hit $21 in January?BUY0.995$10.80
01-30 12:37Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.999$58.15
12-30 09:46Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?BUY0.9989999982$14.96
12-29 19:13Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?BUY0.997$16.65
12-29 19:04Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?BUY0.9969999999$12.85
12-29 18:56Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.999$52.79
10-30 21:01Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?BUY0.999$19.13
10-30 20:20Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?BUY0.9989999908$20.79
10-30 17:43Will XRP reach $3.80 in October?BUY0.999$28.71
09-29 09:31Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?BUY0.999$19.93
09-29 03:59Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$19.72
09-29 03:51Russian strike on Poland by September 30?BUY0.9929999999$19.29
09-29 01:14Will Moonshot have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$10.89