optionking
0xdb02411775c7e9f3b9ba7a7aa562e932d42e0f88
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $482.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,144
- Open portfolio
- $20.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,144
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz · Lotte Giants | 0.350 | 0.205 | $20.50 | −$14.50 |
| Generali Open: Alexandre Muller vs Mariano Navone · Alexandre Muller | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.75 |
| Spread: Texas A&M (-14.5) · Arizona State | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.35 |
| National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakina · Daria Kasatkina | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-08? · No | 0.095 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Belmont Bruins vs. Illinois State Redbirds · Belmont Bruins | 0.552 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.24 |
| Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. North Alabama Lions · Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.44 |
| Louisville vs. Ole Miss · Louisville | 0.135 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.40 |
| Spurs vs. Warriors · Warriors | 0.347 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.91 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.20 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? · No | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$159.00 |
| North Texas Mean Green vs. Temple Owls · Temple Owls | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers · Flyers | 0.295 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.31 |
| National Bank Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Nuno Borges · Yannick Hanfmann | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$973.58at 0.427Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe
- +$920.04at 0.425Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
- +$916.34at 0.607Celtics vs. 76ers
- +$724.53at 0.331Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
- +$699.61at 0.468Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:14 | Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 09-16 23:28 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.97 |
| 09-16 20:42 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.6599999906 | $14.00 |
| 09-16 20:19 | FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 09-16 20:04 | FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.85 | $5.10 |
| 09-15 21:25 | Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.12 | $1.92 |
| 09-15 20:05 | Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 09-15 20:01 | Will Millwall FC win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 09-15 19:56 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 09-15 19:56 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 09-15 18:57 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 09-15 02:52 | Club León FC vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 09-15 01:44 | Biella: Riccardo Carpano vs Tommaso Compagnucci | BUY | 0.05 | $3.60 |
| 09-15 00:51 | EC Bahia vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.27 | $1.62 |
| 09-14 21:29 | SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $5.88 |