optionking
0xdb02411775c7e9f3b9ba7a7aa562e932d42e0f88
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $522.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,634
- Open portfolio
- $330.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,634
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings vs. Mavericks · Mavericks | 0.830 | 0.795 | $297.33 | −$13.09 |
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers · Thunder | 0.390 | 0.365 | $15.70 | −$1.07 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.095 | $9.50 | −$0.50 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? · No | 0.557 | 0.079 | $7.85 | −$47.85 |
| Generali Open: Alexandre Muller vs Mariano Navone · Alexandre Muller | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.75 |
| Spread: Texas A&M (-14.5) · Arizona State | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.35 |
| National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakina · Daria Kasatkina | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Spread: Al Diraiyah Saudi Club (-2.5) · Al Diraiyah Saudi Club | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
| Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-08? · No | 0.095 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Belmont Bruins vs. Illinois State Redbirds · Belmont Bruins | 0.562 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.40 |
| Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. North Alabama Lions · Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.44 |
| Montana vs. Oregon State: O/U 66.5 · Under | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.20 |
| Buenos Aires 2: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Tadeo Meneo · Tadeo Meneo | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.69 |
| Louisville vs. Ole Miss · Louisville | 0.135 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.40 |
| Spurs vs. Warriors · Warriors | 0.161 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.264Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?
- +$973.58at 0.427Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe
- +$920.04at 0.425Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
- +$730.65at 0.540Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?
- +$724.53at 0.331Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 09:17 | Kings vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.83 | $83.00 |
| 11-01 09:17 | Kings vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.83 | $83.00 |
| 11-01 09:17 | Kings vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.83 | $61.42 |
| 11-01 09:17 | Kings vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.83 | $83.00 |
| 11-01 08:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 06:34 | Thunder vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.39 | $16.77 |
| 10-31 22:04 | Hawks vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $30.60 |
| 10-31 22:04 | Hawks vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 10-31 18:03 | Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 10-31 18:01 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 10-31 16:07 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $48.00 |
| 10-31 16:07 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $48.00 |
| 10-31 16:07 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $48.00 |
| 10-31 15:32 | 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 219.5 | BUY | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 10-30 22:46 | Bulls vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |