0xDb00c36baFBD06594B0eecDC6a729906cbF450b0-1776373201506
0xdb00c36bafbd06594b0eecdc6a729906cbf450b0
- Realised P&L
- $-66.31
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $79.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.310 | $41.89 | −$8.11 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.105 | $17.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.125 | $16.67 | −$3.33 |
| Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.125 | $3.41 | −$3.41 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$152.37at 0.190Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$-10.00at 0.009Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$-88.68at 0.255Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 22:26 | Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | BUY | 0.25 | $6.82 |
| 07-19 22:25 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1199999952 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 22:24 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.149999994 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 22:23 | Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? | BUY | 0.3699999957 | $50.00 |
| 05-20 21:32 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.42 | $287.37 |
| 03-25 11:03 | Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer? | BUY | 0.2549121043 | $88.68 |
| 03-01 16:27 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.3799999951 | $20.00 |
| 03-01 16:26 | Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.00 |
| 01-05 00:22 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $100.00 |
| 01-05 00:12 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.1899999989 | $130.00 |