PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rb1777

0xdaf99e9acbe758313beb150ab36016055f593d03

Realised P&L
$-722.36
Volume
$48.8k
Markets traded
1,311
Open portfolio
$82.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,311
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1770.178$24.86+$0.13
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0730.065$10.07−$1.33
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.6800.670$6.80−$0.10
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.8300.943$5.74+$0.69
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-10-11? · Yes0.8000.785$4.91−$0.09
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3400.295$4.57−$0.70
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.001$3.80−$3.79
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.001$3.80−$3.79
CA River Plate vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5300.475$3.41−$0.39
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-11? · Yes0.7800.785$3.22+$0.02
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-10-11? · Yes0.7400.735$2.98−$0.02
Spread: Union Saint-Gilloise (-1.5) · Union Saint-Gilloise0.5700.560$2.46−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 11? · No0.7400.805$1.09+$0.09
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7200.715$0.99−$0.01
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4800.395$0.82−$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 21:30Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.7799999659$3.20
10-10 21:30Will BK Hacken win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.7399999457$3.00
10-10 21:27Spread: Union Saint-Gilloise (-1.5)BUY0.5699999886$2.50
10-10 21:26Will Union Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.8$5.00
10-10 21:16Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?SELL0.999$10.12
10-10 21:15Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5BUY0.6799999882$6.90
10-10 21:03Will CA River Plate win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.8299999918$5.05
10-10 21:01CA River Plate vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 2.5BUY0.5299999498$3.80
10-10 20:35CR Vasco da Gama vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5BUY0.64$2.00
10-10 20:35CR Vasco da Gama vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5BUY0.8399999736$2.55
10-10 20:34Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)BUY0.5399999262$2.78
10-10 20:34Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.759999906$5.50
10-10 19:48CS Marítimo vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5SELL0.999$5.65
10-10 19:47AS Monaco FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5SELL0.999$3.57
10-10 19:47Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10?SELL0.999$10.51