PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

miscxxdad

0xdaf93803fe597eeda4e19f39b697de7824e9ea65

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$62.6k
Markets traded
179
Open portfolio
$7.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded179
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump say "Syria" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes0.5500.220$7.82$11.73
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$161.20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6120.000$0.00$416.16
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$171.10
Curaçao leading at halftime? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$1.00
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$120.00
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.00
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$378.00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? · No0.1500.000$0.00$7.50
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$2.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$285.20
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$297.60
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.00
Will Drake have 3+ albums in the Billboard 200 top 10? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$5.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 12:24Clavicular in jail by September 30?SELL0.034$0.91
09-22 12:24Will Clavicular be arrested by September 30?SELL0.07$1.40
09-22 12:24Clavicular in jail by October 31?SELL0.1$2.00
09-22 12:15Will Trump say "North Korea" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?SELL0.659172$32.96
09-22 12:07Will Clavicular be arrested by September 30?SELL0.07$1.40
09-22 12:01Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?SELL0.205$4.10
09-22 11:52Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?SELL0.22$11.00
09-22 11:47Will Clavicular be arrested by September 25?SELL0.033$1.16
09-22 11:46Will Trump say "North Korea" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?SELL0.29$14.50
09-22 11:35Clavicular in jail by September 30?BUY0.043$1.07
09-22 11:24Clavicular in jail by October 31?BUY0.13$2.60
09-22 11:22Clavicular in jail by October 31?BUY0.12$2.52
09-22 11:04Clavicular in jail by October 31?BUY0.1$2.10
09-22 11:04Clavicular in jail by September 30?BUY0.0406$1.01
09-22 11:03Will Clavicular be arrested by September 30?BUY0.08$1.60