miscxxdad
0xdaf93803fe597eeda4e19f39b697de7824e9ea65
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $62.6k
- Markets traded
- 179
- Open portfolio
- $7.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded179
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$461.51at 0.256Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?
- +$267.00at 0.547Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$191.43at 0.617Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
- +$59.50at 0.100Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$40.44at 0.250Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 12:24 | Clavicular in jail by September 30? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.91 |
| 09-22 12:24 | Will Clavicular be arrested by September 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 09-22 12:24 | Clavicular in jail by October 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 12:15 | Will Trump say "North Korea" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | SELL | 0.659172 | $32.96 |
| 09-22 12:07 | Will Clavicular be arrested by September 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 09-22 12:01 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.205 | $4.10 |
| 09-22 11:52 | Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | SELL | 0.22 | $11.00 |
| 09-22 11:47 | Will Clavicular be arrested by September 25? | SELL | 0.033 | $1.16 |
| 09-22 11:46 | Will Trump say "North Korea" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | SELL | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 09-22 11:35 | Clavicular in jail by September 30? | BUY | 0.043 | $1.07 |
| 09-22 11:24 | Clavicular in jail by October 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 09-22 11:22 | Clavicular in jail by October 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.52 |
| 09-22 11:04 | Clavicular in jail by October 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.10 |
| 09-22 11:04 | Clavicular in jail by September 30? | BUY | 0.0406 | $1.01 |
| 09-22 11:03 | Will Clavicular be arrested by September 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |