cidade
0xdaee2614244235e521e38e1f8245db3e637dbd71
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $168.4k
- Markets traded
- 185
- Open portfolio
- $18.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded185
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.742 | 0.159 | $14.15 | −$51.89 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.200 | $4.60 | +$1.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$623.22at 0.490XRP Up or Down - February 22, 2PM ET
- +$461.28at 0.380Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?
- +$303.08at 0.320Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?
- +$272.46at 0.620Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?
- +$253.75at 0.750Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-09 10:44 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $13.28 |
| 04-07 18:40 | Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.26 | $319.28 |
| 03-25 17:21 | Will North West release an album by December 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $39.97 |
| 03-25 17:20 | Will North West release an album by December 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $10.15 |
| 03-24 06:51 | Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-24? | SELL | 0.88 | $12.32 |
| 03-23 18:04 | Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-24? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.0k |
| 03-23 02:29 | Will North West release an album by December 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $186.16 |
| 03-21 19:02 | Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.71 | $704.32 |
| 03-21 17:11 | Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $185.30 |
| 03-21 17:10 | Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $464.10 |
| 03-20 22:16 | Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $611.20 |
| 03-20 05:40 | Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.84 | $833.28 |
| 03-19 07:07 | Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | SELL | 0.87 | $32.19 |
| 03-19 07:06 | Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | SELL | 0.87 | $98.31 |
| 03-19 07:05 | Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | SELL | 0.87 | $113.10 |