PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdae8f58E4828Cd686DD85Fa16D4C0B0091AD7C9c-1781512959730

0xdae8f58e4828cd686dd85fa16d4c0b0091ad7c9c

Realised P&L
$5.3k
Volume
$321.0k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$231.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0280.043$231.58+$81.59
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.0900.001$0.06$9.94
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5) · Atlético San Luis0.5460.000$0.00$401.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00$100.00
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina0.3800.000$0.00$1.5k
Will Inter Miami CF vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00$510.97
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.4090.000$0.00$8.0k
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5) · Inter Miami CF0.4410.000$0.00$3.2k
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-01? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00$212.00
Will Inter Miami CF vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4180.000$0.00$6.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 01:15Will Inter Miami CF vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?BUY0.2$10.00
09-17 01:15Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.0899999993$10.00
09-16 09:56Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.030952917$40.00
09-16 09:55Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0299999999$10.00
09-13 01:50Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0270408528$100.00
09-13 01:14Will Inter Miami CF vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?BUY0.2$20.00
09-13 00:33Will Inter Miami CF vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?BUY0.32$50.00
08-06 01:20Will Inter Miami CF vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?BUY0.0469999956$10.00
08-06 01:12Will Inter Miami CF vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?BUY0.048707749$10.00
08-06 01:12Will Inter Miami CF vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?BUY0.0467661647$10.00
08-06 01:09Will Inter Miami CF vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?BUY0.0239999977$10.00
08-06 01:09Will Inter Miami CF vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?BUY0.0239999977$10.00
08-06 01:09Will Inter Miami CF vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?BUY0.024$50.00
08-06 01:08Will Inter Miami CF vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?BUY0.0239999977$10.00
08-06 00:14Will Inter Miami CF vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?BUY0.1$100.00