0xdae8f58E4828Cd686DD85Fa16D4C0B0091AD7C9c-1781512959730
0xdae8f58e4828cd686dd85fa16d4c0b0091ad7c9c
- Realised P&L
- $5.3k
- Volume
- $321.0k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $231.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.043 | $231.58 | +$81.59 |
| Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$9.94 |
| Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5) · Atlético San Luis | 0.546 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$401.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| Will Inter Miami CF vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$510.97 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.409 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.0k |
| Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5) · Inter Miami CF | 0.441 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.2k |
| Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-01? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$212.00 |
| Will Inter Miami CF vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.418 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.1kat 0.404England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$3.3kat 0.126Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.1kat 0.246Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$1.9kat 0.617Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
- +$1.7kat 0.637Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:15 | Will Inter Miami CF vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 01:15 | Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 09:56 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.030952917 | $40.00 |
| 09-16 09:55 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 01:50 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0270408528 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 01:14 | Will Inter Miami CF vs. Nashville SC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 00:33 | Will Inter Miami CF vs. Nashville SC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $50.00 |
| 08-06 01:20 | Will Inter Miami CF vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0469999956 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 01:12 | Will Inter Miami CF vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw? | BUY | 0.048707749 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 01:12 | Will Inter Miami CF vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0467661647 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 01:09 | Will Inter Miami CF vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0239999977 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 01:09 | Will Inter Miami CF vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0239999977 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 01:09 | Will Inter Miami CF vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw? | BUY | 0.024 | $50.00 |
| 08-06 01:08 | Will Inter Miami CF vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0239999977 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 00:14 | Will Inter Miami CF vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |