PolyBot

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Traders

IceWindL

0xdae6349433286ec4034e61c79698447d4f7ce440

Realised P&L
$16.1k
Volume
$640.9k
Markets traded
257
Open portfolio
$8.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded257
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6760.665$2.7k−$45.28
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No0.8520.880$1.7k+$53.77
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2720.147$1.3k−$1.1k
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8600.815$834.22−$46.53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.2620.215$668.97−$145.49
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4960.385$495.02−$143.34
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Yes0.9500.935$238.43−$3.83
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · No0.2400.245$204.15+$4.17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.1730.145$158.56−$31.18
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6300.861$68.59+$18.37
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? · No0.0650.026$46.37−$69.54
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? · Yes0.3600.285$11.80−$3.10
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? · Yes0.2600.265$2.57+$0.05
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.2800.030$1.73−$14.12
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026? · No0.4640.000$0.00−$323.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 19:25US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?SELL0.047$9.50
10-10 17:11Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?SELL0.3896796392$892.46
10-10 17:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.24$199.98
10-10 17:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?SELL0.4066597095$931.34
10-10 17:09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.12$98.28
10-10 07:40US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?SELL0.94$1.3k
10-10 07:38US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?SELL0.94$1.7k
10-08 22:42US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.89$74.84
10-08 22:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.89$223.81
10-08 22:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.89$121.58
10-08 21:36US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.89$40.05
10-08 20:51US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.89$6.67
10-08 20:37US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.89$6.35
10-08 20:36US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.89$417.53
10-08 19:14US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.2$23.00