IceWindL
0xdae6349433286ec4034e61c79698447d4f7ce440
- Realised P&L
- $16.1k
- Volume
- $640.9k
- Markets traded
- 257
- Open portfolio
- $8.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded257
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.1kat 0.896Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$3.8kat 0.640US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.198US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$1.5kat 0.025US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$1.4kat 0.554Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 19:25 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | SELL | 0.047 | $9.50 |
| 10-10 17:11 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | SELL | 0.3896796392 | $892.46 |
| 10-10 17:10 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.24 | $199.98 |
| 10-10 17:10 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | SELL | 0.4066597095 | $931.34 |
| 10-10 17:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $98.28 |
| 10-10 07:40 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.3k |
| 10-10 07:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.7k |
| 10-08 22:42 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $74.84 |
| 10-08 22:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $223.81 |
| 10-08 22:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $121.58 |
| 10-08 21:36 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $40.05 |
| 10-08 20:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $6.67 |
| 10-08 20:37 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $6.35 |
| 10-08 20:36 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $417.53 |
| 10-08 19:14 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $23.00 |