NiceTryDiddy-869
0xdae2a8c2e7ff18d9b1d8da2078640030f35c0d5e
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $30.4k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.125 | $2.9k | −$2.2k |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Yes | 0.631 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$160.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.38at 0.714Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$-24.18at 0.910MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
- +$-80.53at 0.531Who will win white women?
- +$-354.82at 0.436Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 23:22 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1099999954 | $18.80 |
| 05-11 02:22 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.530041852 | $2.8k |
| 05-11 02:22 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1285599247 | $2.2k |
| 11-06 18:32 | MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? | SELL | 0.86 | $416.00 |
| 11-06 06:53 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.991 | $416.37 |
| 11-06 02:02 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.713999998 | $299.99 |
| 11-06 02:00 | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BUY | 0.630999999 | $160.39 |
| 11-06 01:47 | Who will win white women? | SELL | 0.1034534056 | $19.47 |
| 11-06 01:47 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.242 | $440.91 |
| 11-05 10:18 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3709999986 | $98.24 |
| 11-03 08:52 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.4339999937 | $24.47 |
| 11-03 00:41 | MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $440.19 |
| 11-03 00:40 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.447 | $327.20 |
| 11-03 00:36 | Who will win white women? | BUY | 0.5312880334 | $100.00 |
| 11-03 00:35 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.4489999998 | $490.23 |