murre
0xdadf70a1877f03bfa470c1e5011466c6618a0b5a
- Realised P&L
- $0.23
- Volume
- $282.86
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $0.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.006 | $0.36 | −$0.03 |
| Falcons vs. Packers · Packers | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET · Down | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants · Minnesota Twins | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Up | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.72at 0.574Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05?
- +$5.97at 0.475Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET
- +$4.67at 0.532Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
- +$2.53at 0.645Packers vs. Jets
- +$1.87at 0.738Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 12:34 | Will Sweden win the UEFA EURO 2028? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.39 |
| 10-05 18:47 | Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.5399999918 | $25.00 |
| 10-02 18:54 | Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 08:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | SELL | 0.232 | $3.24 |
| 09-23 10:03 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 11:51 | Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 20:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.2149999903 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 11:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 11:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.842999988 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 11:45 | Falcons vs. Packers | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 11:44 | Chiefs vs. Dolphins | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 11:41 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 11:40 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 08:19 | Giants vs. Rams | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 21:28 | Colts vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |