PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

murre

0xdadf70a1877f03bfa470c1e5011466c6618a0b5a

Realised P&L
$0.23
Volume
$282.86
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$0.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sweden win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Yes0.0070.006$0.36−$0.03
Falcons vs. Packers · Packers0.7400.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET · Down0.6600.000$0.00−$1.00
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs0.6700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$20.00
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants · Minnesota Twins0.5200.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Up0.9500.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 12:34Will Sweden win the UEFA EURO 2028?BUY0.007$0.39
10-05 18:47Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.5399999918$25.00
10-02 18:54Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.4099999984$20.00
09-28 08:02Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?SELL0.232$3.24
09-23 10:03Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.699999972$5.00
09-22 11:51Miami Marlins vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.6699999611$5.00
09-21 20:15Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?BUY0.2149999903$3.00
09-21 11:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ETBUY0.4399999754$5.00
09-21 11:50Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?BUY0.842999988$5.00
09-21 11:45Falcons vs. PackersBUY0.7399999734$5.00
09-21 11:44Chiefs vs. DolphinsBUY0.86$5.00
09-21 11:41Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesBUY0.5$5.00
09-21 11:40Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco GiantsBUY0.5199999792$5.00
09-21 08:19Giants vs. RamsBUY0.7399999734$5.00
09-20 21:28Colts vs. ChiefsBUY0.7199999654$5.00