55123
0xdac3823a7f1cbb22d66b90452efec9a31d3a7688
- Realised P&L
- $-183.86
- Volume
- $22.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,545
- Open portfolio
- $19.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,545
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.914 | $9.14 | +$0.55 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by December 31? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.695 | $6.95 | −$0.35 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.160 | $3.20 | −$3.80 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.98at 0.773Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9AM ET
- +$17.25at 0.811Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2AM ET
- +$8.67at 0.811Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9PM ET
- +$8.21at 0.811Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9AM ET
- +$7.00at 0.792Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 13:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9AM ET | SELL | 0.546 | $5.46 |
| 10-08 13:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 10-08 12:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 10-08 11:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7AM ET | SELL | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 10-08 11:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 10-08 09:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5AM ET | SELL | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 10-08 09:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 10-08 07:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 10-08 06:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2AM ET | SELL | 0.61 | $6.17 |
| 10-08 06:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999802 | $8.00 |
| 10-08 05:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1AM ET | SELL | 0.802 | $8.02 |
| 10-08 05:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 10-08 03:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 10-08 01:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9PM ET | SELL | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 10-08 01:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |