ABC123ABC
0xdabe48d478da5dc9f60a1d1e3adf61ed3c0ebd89
- Realised P&L
- $-2.57M
- Volume
- $6.83M
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $9.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-37.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes | 0.391 | 0.315 | $9.6k | −$2.3k |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? · Yes | 0.722 | 1.000 | $138.59 | +$38.59 |
| Senate control after 2024 election? · Democrats | 0.261 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.1k |
| Will a Democrat win Montana US Senate Election? · Yes | 0.227 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.3k |
| Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.215 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.6k |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.526 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$238.5k |
| Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election? · No | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.4k |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.459 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.07M |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-112.1kat 0.440Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-02 03:09 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.3467158366 | $309.79 |
| 01-01 22:31 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.434220676 | $122.94 |
| 01-01 22:30 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.2323545015 | $44.67 |
| 12-31 20:45 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $40.77 |
| 12-31 20:45 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? | BUY | 0.7215479221 | $100.00 |
| 12-31 20:44 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.6271033974 | $50.00 |
| 12-31 20:24 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.5227998801 | $10.00 |
| 12-31 20:22 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.2506611478 | $90.23 |
| 10-27 02:54 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.3234702642 | $74.57 |
| 10-27 02:54 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 11-06 02:36 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2159910077 | $25.0k |
| 11-06 01:26 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3307162662 | $25.0k |
| 11-06 01:25 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3234430202 | $25.0k |
| 11-05 02:32 | Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0322448208 | $800.00 |
| 11-05 02:32 | Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0309323602 | $1.5k |