pedrorf
0xdab8f232ac2a33070de8c19bce3997f58a406519
- Realised P&L
- $-111.05
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $86.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? · Yes | 0.804 | 0.835 | $86.34 | +$3.22 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 8? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-5.10at 0.735Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
- +$-94.40at 0.246Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 22:56 | Epstein suicide note released by May 8? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 05-11 22:56 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | SELL | 0.81 | $5.35 |
| 05-11 11:03 | Epstein suicide note released by May 8? | BUY | 0.011 | $5.00 |
| 05-11 11:03 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.68 |
| 05-10 03:11 | Epstein suicide note released by May 8? | BUY | 0.0287253142 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 03:11 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | SELL | 0.81 | $5.98 |
| 05-04 15:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 05-03 01:22 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.00 |
| 05-03 01:22 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | BUY | 0.8 | $90.00 |
| 05-03 01:22 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 12-24 14:17 | Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.2399999983 | $86.80 |
| 12-08 06:06 | Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.343225779 | $7.60 |