IvoryEngineer
0xdab810d5faa232515c715d7b5cb239c1d7caf7bc
- Realised P&L
- $3.32
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $357.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.595 | $357.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.00at 0.845Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
- +$1.44at 0.038Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$0.60at 0.810Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$0.04at 0.997Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on March 18?
- +$0.03at 0.997Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on March 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 11:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.07 |
| 04-17 11:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.21 |
| 04-05 08:55 | Will the price of Solana be above $70 on April 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.85 |
| 04-03 09:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.05 |
| 04-02 07:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.08 |
| 04-01 07:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.07 |
| 03-31 10:22 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.29 |
| 03-30 09:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 30? | BUY | 0.9989999274 | $13.04 |
| 03-27 07:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.33 |
| 03-26 06:49 | Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 26? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.21 |
| 03-25 08:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.01 |
| 03-24 08:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 24? | BUY | 0.997999977 | $10.42 |
| 03-19 11:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.11 |
| 03-18 09:22 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on March 18? | BUY | 0.9969999582 | $12.24 |
| 03-17 10:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on March 17? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $10.55 |