PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Nordicforecastlab

0xdab7339036ab2e3666ea7eb18459ef56b0a393ce

Realised P&L
$2.76
Volume
$279.54
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$7.23

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 07:17Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 5?BUY0.0648197881$3.00
10-03 05:58Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 4?BUY0.047229095$3.00
10-02 09:20Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 3?BUY0.4099999535$3.00
10-01 06:06Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on October 2?BUY0.5851239263$3.00
09-30 07:08Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 1?BUY0.6899999425$3.00
09-29 06:55Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 29?BUY0.4299999498$3.00
09-28 06:07Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 28?BUY0.7299998297$3.00
09-26 06:04Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 26?BUY0.7799999688$3.00
09-25 07:36Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 26?BUY0.0550863019$3.00
09-20 07:28Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20?BUY0.5099999949$3.00
09-13 14:40Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 13?BUY0.3799999924$3.00
09-04 15:54Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 4?BUY0.4$2.59
09-04 13:43Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 4?BUY0.3931318681$2.86
09-04 13:29Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 4?BUY0.32$2.66
09-04 13:04Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on September 4?BUY0.1$1.92