PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdaB4a377AF

0xdab4a377afb50a9717e35dd1341c17c920bd7b5a

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$2.12M
Markets traded
358
Open portfolio
$55.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded358
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B? · No0.1800.946$46.22+$37.42
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? · Yes0.4940.050$5.20$46.70
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B? · Yes0.4830.027$3.92$66.17
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B? · Yes0.4000.050$0.21$1.49
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 24? · No0.1700.000$0.00$3.1k
CBB mindshare all time high by March 31? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$21.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Up0.4300.000$0.00$129.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 19? · Yes0.1260.000$0.00$1.3k
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00$96.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00$176.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 17? · No0.2310.000$0.00$731.58
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 11? · No0.1300.000$0.00$3.9k
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00$96.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 27? · No0.2110.000$0.00$2.1k
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 13? · No0.1220.000$0.00$1.8k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-30 15:35Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 30?BUY0.008$0.40
03-30 12:50Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 30?BUY0.1794386318$882.14
03-24 13:13Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 24?BUY0.078$326.72
03-24 13:12Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 24?BUY0.12$13.13
03-24 13:11Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 24?BUY0.11$0.55
03-19 12:50Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 19?BUY0.11$9.96
03-18 13:25Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 18?BUY0.28$786.72
03-18 12:57Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 18?BUY0.11$275.76
03-17 13:40Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 17?BUY0.0693565029$10.20
03-13 12:59Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 13?BUY0.11$511.90
03-12 13:29Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 12?BUY0.064$9.46
03-12 13:12Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 12?BUY0.0482307692$31.32
03-12 12:32Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 12?BUY0.12$596.65
03-12 12:22Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 12?BUY0.06$27.94
03-12 12:19Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 12?BUY0.055$0.27