HonKongMaster03
0xdab342d1b0ce1fbe12cb2ce1bc316053e6043807
- Realised P&L
- $-2.30
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $0.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 20? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.003 | $0.19 | −$4.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.89at 0.737Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.49at 0.830Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$1.45at 0.951Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.93at 0.956Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
- +$0.62at 0.618Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 18:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.0673267326 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 15:32 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $76.84 |
| 10-19 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.09 |
| 10-19 11:50 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.9892580502 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 08:01 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999987 | $20.96 |
| 07-24 16:57 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.789999995 | $19.00 |
| 07-24 16:56 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.6181338481 | $19.21 |
| 07-05 16:54 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $30.00 |
| 06-24 08:19 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7399999936 | $23.00 |
| 06-24 08:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.975 | $23.49 |
| 06-18 07:21 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.950721907 | $28.00 |
| 06-18 07:21 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.9539999768 | $20.00 |
| 06-18 07:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.8299999975 | $20.00 |
| 04-13 07:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $7.25 |
| 04-13 07:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $0.87 |