0xDAb2cacC4775F131F69857D6b8a4769C4BdD62Be-1735050466331
0xdab2cacc4775f131f69857d6b8a4769c4bdd62be
- Realised P&L
- $6.24
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $28.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 9? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.993 | $28.85 | −$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.20at 0.993Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
- +$0.18at 0.993Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
- +$0.17at 0.993Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 2?
- +$0.16at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?
- +$0.15at 0.994Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 7-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 11:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.00 |
| 10-06 09:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 7? | BUY | 0.997 | $25.00 |
| 10-02 19:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9979999999 | $24.70 |
| 09-29 08:44 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $22.00 |
| 09-28 16:22 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.00 |
| 09-25 23:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.60 |
| 09-24 18:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on September 26? | BUY | 0.996 | $27.00 |
| 09-21 03:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.9979999437 | $15.50 |
| 09-20 21:31 | Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.996 | $22.00 |
| 09-18 07:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.995 | $29.00 |
| 09-14 05:09 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $18.90 |
| 09-12 07:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.9939999951 | $27.00 |
| 09-06 17:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.997 | $15.01 |
| 09-05 04:33 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.9959999625 | $23.60 |
| 08-29 10:30 | Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.50 |