0xdaafc69bcba7606188ceac45033552e4addd694f
0xdaafc69bcba7606188ceac45033552e4addd694f
- Realised P&L
- $16.78
- Volume
- $14.70
- Markets traded
- 1
- Open portfolio
- $4.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar114.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded1
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Washington (-10.5) · Minnesota | 0.500 | 0.535 | $4.24 | +$0.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.84at 0.331San Diego 2: Patrick Maloney vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
- +$6.94at 0.500W50 Berkeley, CA: Ella McDonald vs Katherine Hui
- +$0.00at 0.500M15 Columbia, SC: Teodor Davidov vs Michael Bassem Sobhy
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 18:28 | San Diego 2: Patrick Maloney vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | BUY | 0.32 | $4.70 |