PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AlwaysAnon

0xdaaf9005ebafec687623bee00b039b2d7e561155

Realised P&L
$7.38
Volume
$8.9k
Markets traded
257
Open portfolio
$341.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded257
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 17? · No0.9891.000$99.95+$1.03
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 17? · No0.9651.000$99.95+$3.45
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 17? · No0.9901.000$88.55+$0.84
Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on September 17? · No0.9851.000$21.92+$0.33
Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on September 17? · No0.9851.000$20.79+$0.31
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 17? · No0.9901.000$9.99+$0.10
Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs · OG0.4470.000$0.00$6.00
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP - Map 2 Winner · Heroic0.4400.000$0.00$1.50
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner · Team Liquid0.5170.000$0.00$4.00
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports - Game 2 Winner · mCon esports0.4300.000$0.00$4.00
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs · Aurora0.4170.000$0.00$4.00
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 Winner · TLN Pirates0.3340.000$0.00$8.50
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage · Tundra Esports0.4700.000$0.00$1.50
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner · Sentinels0.4800.000$0.00$2.00
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) · Dplus KIA0.4200.000$0.00$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 23:55Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 17?BUY0.9892$98.92
09-17 20:51Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 17?BUY0.9536$47.68
09-17 18:51Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 17?BUY0.99$9.90
09-17 13:55Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on September 17?BUY0.9845599635$21.59
09-17 11:55Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on September 17?BUY0.9848076923$20.48
09-17 11:53Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 17?BUY0.965$96.50
09-17 09:51Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on September 17?BUY0.96925$48.46
09-17 06:55Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on September 17?BUY0.98$49.00
09-17 06:55Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on September 16?BUY0.9883927997$30.75
09-17 06:51Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on September 17?BUY0.98$49.00
09-17 04:53Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 17?BUY0.99$11.88
09-16 23:55Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 16?BUY0.764$38.20
09-16 20:51Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 16?BUY0.9328$46.64
09-16 20:12Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on September 16?BUY0.99$49.50
09-15 16:53Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 15?BUY0.99$4.95