yiwu2
0xdaa7e3c35d9923c4710ebb8e5c1da48736533637
- Realised P&L
- $313.65
- Volume
- $197.5k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 19? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $3.2k | −$1.08 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 19? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $928.49 | +$1.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$225.00at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 4?
- +$225.00at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 3?
- +$225.00at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 1?
- +$225.00at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 6?
- +$225.00at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 10:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9978391666 | $3.2k |
| 09-17 09:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9980802795 | $7.00 |
| 09-17 09:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $850.00 |
| 09-17 09:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9966701503 | $70.00 |
| 09-15 20:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.1k |
| 09-13 16:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.3k |
| 09-13 16:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.9980067666 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 16:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $700.00 |
| 09-11 16:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 13? | BUY | 0.9969834113 | $1.8k |
| 09-11 16:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 13? | BUY | 0.9989564617 | $985.00 |
| 09-11 16:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 13? | BUY | 0.9978802543 | $500.00 |
| 09-11 16:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $488.00 |
| 09-11 16:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 13? | BUY | 0.9980872131 | $300.00 |
| 09-11 14:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.1k |
| 09-09 16:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.0k |