PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Nbest55

0xdaa6a2cd4ba545befb3dbdc25d2b444c46873e62

Realised P&L
$19.4k
Volume
$1.15M
Markets traded
984
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded984
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1280.065$208.69$201.02
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.3210.306$153.25$7.25
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2150.145$145.00$70.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · No0.1300.085$127.50$67.50
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · Yes0.3460.115$85.74$172.31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.1900.235$77.55+$14.70
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 · Yes0.3560.230$64.01$35.23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · Yes0.0760.055$55.00$21.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4800.410$41.00$7.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Yes0.1470.048$25.92$53.28
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.6020.625$24.80+$0.90
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · Yes0.1300.095$8.91$3.28
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · No0.6100.395$3.95$2.15
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? · Yes0.5760.018$2.29$70.88
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026? · Yes0.2600.195$1.17$0.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:37Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaBUY0.63$63.00
08-03 01:10Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.09$27.00
08-03 01:01Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.11$12.10
08-03 00:43Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.18$36.00
08-03 00:08Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.29$43.50
08-03 00:07Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.3$30.00
08-03 00:02Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 1 WinnerSELL0.58$22.61
08-02 23:59Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.43$2.58
08-02 23:44Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 1 WinnerSELL0.4$54.56
08-02 23:19Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.51$55.10
08-02 23:16Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.13$65.00
08-02 23:16Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.13$130.00
08-02 23:09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.002$3.35
08-02 23:06Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?SELL0.12$3.45
08-02 23:05Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.1932573333$289.89