0xDa9EcdB6657BB23a8bbdb2dA3f3cF9f98624B502-1768453888774
0xda9ecdb6657bb23a8bbdb2da3f3cf9f98624b502
- Realised P&L
- $-207.34
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $3.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.978 | 0.977 | $1.00 | −$0.00 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.973 | 0.931 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.979 | 0.920 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.950 | 0.595 | $0.63 | −$0.37 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.710 | 0.052 | $0.07 | −$0.93 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,900 on the final trading day of March 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$96.07 |
| Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · No | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$139.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.00at 0.500Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 on February 9?
- +$18.45at 0.656Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?
- +$10.41at 0.906Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
- +$7.40at 0.730Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?
- +$7.04at 0.934Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 01:19 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? | BUY | 0.9339999978 | $15.00 |
| 09-20 08:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.6699999986 | $96.07 |
| 09-16 13:22 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | SELL | 0.82 | $98.55 |
| 09-16 13:21 | Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.974 | $1.01 |
| 09-03 23:02 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $76.92 |
| 08-26 13:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8919999989 | $70.65 |
| 08-25 03:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | SELL | 0.553 | $73.20 |
| 08-21 23:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.7399999989 | $97.95 |
| 08-14 23:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9199999976 | $139.27 |
| 08-14 23:23 | Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.95 |
| 07-02 08:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $100.00 |
| 07-02 08:31 | Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $1.02 |
| 06-08 23:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9 | $100.00 |
| 05-15 12:42 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 05-15 12:41 | Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.98 |