0xda982def804d32cf23e6bb24d7c93d75099e2958
0xda982def804d32cf23e6bb24d7c93d75099e2958
- Realised P&L
- $-3.50
- Volume
- $146.35
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $4.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.320 | 0.550 | $1.72 | +$0.72 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.655 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.585 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.235 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.82at 0.268Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.54at 0.400Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 05:31 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 21:31 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 12:06 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:59 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:53 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 08:05 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:08 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 12:04 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:43 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 10:50 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 02:48 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:45 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:03 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $990 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:03 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |