DwoLZdZP
0xda8a1dafee4ca0954f5ffca5e207be8ad0f4a35f
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $12.6k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more? · Yes | 0.707 | 0.996 | $845.28 | +$245.28 |
| Will Bert Chen win the next Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? · Yes | 0.417 | 0.750 | $269.54 | +$119.54 |
| Will Kristina Loewen win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.553 | $230.42 | −$69.58 |
| Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election? · Yes | 0.662 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Lisa Beare win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? · Yes | 0.377 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$350.00 |
| Will Kyle Sampson win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election? · Yes | 0.383 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$364.67at 0.661Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?
- +$214.37at 0.432Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10?
- +$210.78at 0.768Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
- +$208.85at 0.813Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$193.57at 0.831Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 15:51 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more? | BUY | 0.7069835368 | $600.00 |
| 10-29 15:40 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.9872950846 | $1.2k |
| 10-28 02:34 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.6166044735 | $25.00 |
| 10-27 05:29 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.8199999999 | $950.00 |
| 10-26 13:59 | Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8307330417 | $950.00 |
| 10-25 18:46 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | BUY | 0.7685726506 | $700.00 |
| 10-22 19:44 | Will Lisa Beare win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.3523362979 | $200.00 |
| 10-21 21:28 | Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6936025027 | $300.00 |
| 10-21 19:48 | Will Lisa Beare win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.4172185425 | $150.00 |
| 10-21 19:27 | Will Bert Chen win the next Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.4173832848 | $150.00 |
| 10-21 19:02 | Will Garry Purewal win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.6577636028 | $200.00 |
| 10-21 18:39 | Will Kristina Loewen win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.7199999994 | $300.00 |
| 10-18 15:18 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.65 | $700.00 |
| 10-16 14:13 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.8 | $260.00 |
| 10-16 03:25 | Will Kyle Sampson win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3828408745 | $100.00 |