PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

STFFWTC

0xda8145a61e63c378ffa90d1dd21aecc72a55e207

Realised P&L
$2.52
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$475.74

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1180.161$407.77+$107.77
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0380.035$45.39−$4.60
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.140$22.58−$27.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 16:42Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.597$157.66
10-07 19:31Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.5679999979$150.00
10-07 19:23Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1238638076$200.00
10-04 17:19Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3099999992$50.00
10-04 17:11Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.038$50.00
10-04 17:07Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.108$100.00