mango12683
0xda7f3c2e054914af91a50f98a7c755ac6e9a2425
- Realised P&L
- $-17.9k
- Volume
- $149.5k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $20.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$471.46at 0.406Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
- +$171.29at 0.228Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$73.52at 0.731Will Trump talk to Kaja Kallas in January?
- +$66.61at 0.397Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$64.67at 0.455Will FC Argeș Pitești win on 2026-02-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 22:01 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1624999878 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 22:01 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1824999931 | $21.00 |
| 07-10 20:04 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5449999966 | $50.00 |
| 07-07 20:33 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 17:13 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.3899999962 | $43.09 |
| 07-07 17:13 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.16 | $45.17 |
| 05-30 15:47 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.3299999968 | $48.71 |
| 05-30 15:44 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.19 | $51.53 |
| 05-18 19:27 | Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? | SELL | 0.4914833279 | $75.91 |
| 05-18 07:29 | Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? | SELL | 0.5906445811 | $305.41 |
| 05-02 14:10 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.16 | $19.00 |
| 05-01 18:10 | Will FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc vs. FCSB end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999907 | $20.00 |
| 04-27 08:05 | Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? | BUY | 0.3717507508 | $37.99 |
| 04-27 08:05 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | BUY | 0.0016593462 | $10.00 |
| 04-22 14:12 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | BUY | 0.0666347036 | $50.00 |