PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

mango12683

0xda7f3c2e054914af91a50f98a7c755ac6e9a2425

Realised P&L
$-17.9k
Volume
$149.5k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$20.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · Yes0.0670.013$10.13$39.87
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? · Yes0.1330.009$8.97$117.03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? · Yes0.0390.002$1.14$28.86
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1700.011$0.62$9.38
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.1820.000$0.00$21.00
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$60.00
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2440.000$0.00$452.88
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.2400.000$0.00$25.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$25.99
Will FC Rapid 1923 win on 2026-02-06? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00$25.00
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$5.00
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$583.99
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$10.00
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 115-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00$25.00
Will China join the Board of Peace? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 22:01Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1624999878$10.00
07-11 22:01Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1824999931$21.00
07-10 20:04Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.5449999966$50.00
07-07 20:33Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.3799999833$10.00
07-07 17:13Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.3899999962$43.09
07-07 17:13Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.16$45.17
05-30 15:47Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY0.3299999968$48.71
05-30 15:44Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.19$51.53
05-18 19:27Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?SELL0.4914833279$75.91
05-18 07:29Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?SELL0.5906445811$305.41
05-02 14:10Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.16$19.00
05-01 18:10Will FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc vs. FCSB end in a draw?BUY0.2899999907$20.00
04-27 08:05Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?BUY0.3717507508$37.99
04-27 08:05Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?BUY0.0016593462$10.00
04-22 14:12Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?BUY0.0666347036$50.00