myphbr
0xda7aee9e58b5e6b914d8bda8a4eeb88e5310bb51
- Realised P&L
- $287.28
- Volume
- $15.4k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $20.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$275.56at 0.022Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21?
- +$81.24at 0.033Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 22?
- +$11.00at 0.020Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on September 22?
- +$7.40at 0.009Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24?
- +$6.66at 0.371Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 15:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.019 | $3.80 |
| 09-25 15:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $7.75 |
| 09-25 13:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.05 |
| 09-25 13:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.014 | $9.80 |
| 09-25 13:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.038 | $7.60 |
| 09-25 13:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.0995 | $9.95 |
| 09-23 14:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24? | SELL | 0.0213121636 | $13.86 |
| 09-23 14:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 25? | SELL | 0.017 | $8.02 |
| 09-23 13:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 24? | SELL | 0.024 | $3.55 |
| 09-23 13:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 23? | SELL | 0.032 | $1.60 |
| 09-23 13:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23? | SELL | 0.003 | $2.10 |
| 09-23 11:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.01 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 15:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.018 | $5.40 |
| 09-22 11:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7AM ET | SELL | 0.07 | $2.10 |
| 09-22 11:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $4.80 |