ChristopherLewis7304
0xda77afb5c2b2342aabfbf79ae011d54ee2128085
- Realised P&L
- $279.56
- Volume
- $113.1k
- Markets traded
- 290
- Open portfolio
- $165.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded290
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.60at 0.816Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
- +$70.54at 0.501Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
- +$48.30at 0.270Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$35.87at 0.560Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?
- +$30.18at 0.680Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 09:13 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison? | SELL | 0.862 | $12.07 |
| 04-21 04:45 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison? | SELL | 0.889 | $61.34 |
| 04-21 04:43 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison? | SELL | 0.889 | $78.23 |
| 02-08 20:43 | Will the New York Knicks finish with the best record in the NBA? | SELL | 0.974 | $10.71 |
| 02-08 17:59 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison? | SELL | 0.952 | $71.40 |
| 02-08 17:58 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison? | SELL | 0.952 | $314.16 |
| 01-11 10:18 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison? | BUY | 0.69 | $485.07 |
| 01-10 21:41 | Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.782 | $89.93 |
| 01-10 21:01 | Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season? | SELL | 0.84 | $427.56 |
| 01-10 16:04 | Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season? | BUY | 0.87 | $442.83 |
| 01-10 15:45 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the Super Bowl? | SELL | 0.81 | $209.79 |
| 01-10 15:44 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the Super Bowl? | SELL | 0.81 | $46.17 |
| 01-10 13:47 | Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025? | SELL | 0.23 | $71.30 |
| 01-10 13:39 | Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025? | SELL | 0.23 | $21.39 |
| 01-10 13:30 | Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025? | SELL | 0.23 | $22.77 |