TimothySharp6888
0xda6483c74be56f20753490e5af0de21bf23c9bc5
- Realised P&L
- $-591.09
- Volume
- $208.0k
- Markets traded
- 244
- Open portfolio
- $88.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded244
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET? · No | 0.170 | 0.998 | $49.88 | +$41.38 |
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.742 | 0.157 | $18.50 | −$68.93 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.135 | $17.82 | −$38.94 |
| Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.035 | $1.26 | −$21.42 |
| Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.185 | $0.74 | +$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$250.11at 0.370Partizan vs. BC Dubai
- +$229.44at 0.520Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be between 2,100,000 and 2,300,000?
- +$208.02at 0.220Will Robert De Zerbi be appointed as manager of Tottenham?
- +$205.76at 0.250Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
- +$188.17at 0.690Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 08:04 | Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $182.25 |
| 04-24 02:41 | Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $605.07 |
| 04-12 09:42 | OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.71 | $423.87 |
| 04-12 09:40 | OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 04-12 08:52 | Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.914 | $194.68 |
| 04-12 01:02 | OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $17.25 |
| 04-11 09:26 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $20.32 |
| 04-11 04:26 | OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.71 | $455.82 |
| 04-11 02:07 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $85.09 |
| 04-09 22:43 | Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.73 | $67.16 |
| 04-09 12:46 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30? | SELL | 0.79 | $551.42 |
| 04-09 12:44 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30? | SELL | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 04-07 08:40 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30? | BUY | 0.81 | $581.58 |
| 03-30 13:27 | Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $681.72 |
| 03-30 06:51 | Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $67.16 |