PolyBot

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Traders

0xda5b6cd7866200dadfb86431d1b79cac6e2e1510

0xda5b6cd7866200dadfb86431d1b79cac6e2e1510

Realised P&L
$183.22
Volume
$4.7k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$76.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration76.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2026 NFC South? · Yes0.2070.217$26.27+$1.27
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0810.056$17.09−$7.85
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2820.203$14.43−$5.57
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0740.100$13.45+$3.45
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9840.988$5.02+$0.02
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$25.09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$25.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.4100.000$0.00−$25.00
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yes0.4920.000$0.00−$50.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 03:03Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0739999995$10.00
09-25 03:01Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2026 NFC South?BUY0.2069999998$25.00
09-16 15:16Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$10.00
09-15 16:54Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0809999999$24.94
09-15 13:40Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1299999995$25.00
07-22 15:58Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.4919999963$50.00
07-18 21:38France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfSELL0.39$24.38
07-18 15:12Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4099999954$25.00
07-18 15:10France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfBUY0.4$25.00
07-18 15:09France vs. England: O/U 2.5BUY0.6799999984$50.00
07-06 14:30Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$2.50
07-05 17:12Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.3799999952$25.09
07-01 20:21Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?SELL0.9537644444$85.84
07-01 03:11Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0309999985$20.00
06-14 18:39Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?BUY0.5488673253$115.28